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NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 12, 2023: Model loving Vikings, Titans
There aren’t any pick’em games on the Week 12 NFL schedule, but there are several Week 12 NFL spreads tighter than a field goal. They include divisional matchups like Saints vs. Falcons (-1), Bengals vs. Steelers (-1), Texans vs. Jaguars (-1.5) and Cardinals vs. Rams (-1). Steelers vs. Bengals is intriguing since a week after falling to a Browns team that had just lost Deshaun Watson for the season, Pittsburgh will face a Cincinnati squad that just lost quarterback Joe Burrow for 2023.
The Steelers have won 10 of the last 11 meetings with the Bengals in which Burrow wasn’t under center. However, many of those Steelers teams had better offenses than those taking the field in 2023, so should you back Jake Browning and the Bengals with your Week 12 NFL bets? All of the Week 12 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 12 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 12 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Week 12 NFL predictions
We can tell you one of the model’s strongest Week 12 NFL picks is that the Vikings (-3.5) cover against the Bears. Minnesota is averaging more points per game since Kirk Cousins was lost for the season, while the defense has been one of the best in the league. Minnesota is giving up just 18 points per game over its last six contests, with multiple takeaways in four of those six games. For the season, the Vikings rank in the top 10 in total yards allowed, with top-seven rankings in both rushing yards allowed and yards per carry given up.
That strong run defense will make it tough sledding for a one-dimensional Bears offense that ranks 25th in passing. Chicago’s three wins have come against under .500 teams, while it is 0-5 versus teams currently at or above .500. The Vikings (6-5) fall into the latter, and they already both won and covered at Chicago in Week 6. SportsLine’s model foresees a similar outcome in Week 12, with Minnesota (-3.5) covering nearly 60% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.
Another one of its Week 12 NFL predictions: The Titans (-3.5) cover the spread at home versus the Panthers. Being at home is important for the Titans as they are one of two NFL teams with an undefeated ATS home record (3-0). Meanwhile, the Panthers have struggled both versus the spread and straight-up no matter where they’re playing. Their 1-9 SU record is the worst in the league, as is their 1-7-2 ATS record.
Carolina has scored 15 points or fewer in each of its last four games and is averaging a miniscule 224.8 total yards over that span. Combine that with the No. 31 scoring defense, and there aren’t many avenues for the Panthers to stay within the spread. Tennessee is at least middle-of-the-pack in scoring defense, ranking 16th, and it also boasts the No. 2 redzone defense. With these factors, the Titans (-3.5) cover well over 50% of the time. The model also says the Over (36.5) hits in over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Week 12 NFL picks
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 12 NFL schedule and also just revealed three must-see underdogs who win outright. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which underdogs should you pick right now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.
Week 12 NFL odds, lines, spreads
Get full NFL picks at SportsLine
Thursday, Nov. 23
Packers at Lions (-7.5, 47)
Commanders at Cowboys (-11, 48.5)
49ers at Seahawks (+7, 43)
Friday, Nov. 24
Dolphins at Jets (+10, 41)
Sunday, Nov. 26
Saints at Falcons (-1, 42)
Steelers at Bengals (+1, 34.5)
Jaguars at Texans (+1.5, 48.5)
Buccaneers at Colts (-2, 44)
Patriots at Giants (+3.5, 33.5)
Panthers at Titans (-3.5, 36.5)
Rams at Cardinals (+1, 44.5)
Browns at Broncos (-2.5, 35.5)
Chiefs at Raiders (+9, 43)
Bills at Eagles (-3.5, 48.5)
Ravens at Chargers (+3.5, 47)
Monday, Nov. 27
Bears at Vikings (-3.5, 43)
